As the financial landscape continues to evolve, gold prices faced a notable dip last week, particularly on January 17, following bolster from a rising dollarThe recent housing market data along with robust industrial output have exceeded market anticipations, contributing to a rebound in U.STreasury yields, which had recently reached a two-week lowFollowing this, the dollar index showed signs of stabilization, causing gold prices to retract from the over-month high they touched on January 16. Nevertheless, over the week, gold still managed to record a gain of 0.5%, closing at $2702.35 per ounceAmidst the unpredictability of the new government policies and renewed bets on further interest rate cuts, gold managed to sustain a three-week upward trendInvestor attention is now turning to a series of potential new policies expected to be announced on Monday, further highlighting the importance of ongoing economic dynamics.
In December, single-family home construction in the U.S
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rose to a 10-month high, hinting at a year-end improvement in housing activityHowever, rising mortgage rates and an oversupply of new homes could hamper recovery efforts in the housing marketA report released by the U.SDepartment of Commerce on the same day also revealed that single-family home permits had hit their highest level since February of the previous yearEconomists observed that these figures could have been influenced by an overly lenient seasonal adjustment factor, a model used by the government to remove seasonal fluctuations from the dataRegardless of the nuances in the data, this report, along with the strong manufacturing output numbers released on the same day, signals that economic strength was largely preserved through the fourth quarter—a time when robust retail sales performance also suggests resilience in consumer spending.
Amidst these developments, economic experts have voiced concerns over implications following promises of heightened tariffs and mass deportations of undocumented immigrants
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Such policies, they argue, could elevate raw material costs and instigate labor shortages, suggesting that growth in housing construction and industrial output may face considerable challenges moving forwardThe intricate interplay of economic data and policy statements continues to define market trends and investor sentiment.
Analyzing the gold market, the previous trading day commenced around the $2714 mark, witnessing an initial uptick that tested the daily high resistance level of $2717 before retreatingFollowing a slight decline during European trading hours, the U.Ssession experienced a minor surge before heading downwards to a daily low of $2699. Intriguingly, the daily candlestick revealed a small bearish trendObserving the daily chart, it is apparent that the Bollinger Bands are exhibiting an upward expansion phaseThe K-lines are persistently bouncing off lower levels, with the short-term moving averages (MA5 and MA10) maintaining an upward trajectory
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The MACD energy bars are easing off, while the KDJ indicator suggests a golden cross formation, hinting at potential upward movementThe expansive nature of the Bollinger Bands indicates that despite localized pullbacks, the overall trend remains bullish, prompting traders to consider low positions for long trades today, with a focus on continuing upward movement confirmed by support levels.
Moving to other market assets, a close examination of the silver market shows that the last trading day opened around $30.8, and similar to gold, it encountered resistance near daily highs before a downward trend ensuedThe price retreated further during both Asian and European trading, hitting a low during the U.Ssession at $30.12. Analyzing the daily chart, the silver market also appears to follow the Bollinger Bands' upward pattern while the K-lines wobble near the upper band, suggesting potential for rebound among traders
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The MACD reflects energy expansion, and with a golden cross on the KDJ, the silver market still presents bullish signals for traders.
For those looking to navigate the silver trading environment, a strategy might include entering long positions near $30 to $30.16 while maintaining a stop-loss around $29.85 with targets set for $30.63, $31.24, and $32. Additionally, any dips toward the $29.52 to $29.65 range could yield new buying opportunities, with similar stop-loss and target configurations in mindConversely, if prices reach $32 to $32.18, short selling may be advisable with stop losses monitored closely.
Turning to oil trading, the last session began near $77.9, where a modest rally was noted initially before a decline took hold following new highs during European trading near $78.5. The daily close, however, settled significantly lower at approximately $77.2, depicting a small bearish trend on the daily chart
The upward orientation of the Bollinger Bands suggests potential volatility, while the K-lines are fluctuating, hinting at possible support and resistance levels playing out in the short-term trading environment.
Advising traders in this domain requires a careful approach to manage potential complexities; positions could be initiated near $77 to $77.2, setting stop-losses at $76, with targets aimed upwards of $78.6, $80, and $81.5. Moreover, if testing areas around $75.8 or $76 becomes feasible, subsequent long positions might also be explored with appropriate risk managementOn occasion, should prices towards $80 or $80.3 present, positioning for a short sell could be a calculated move with stop losses and targeting downward price corrections.
As trends shift and the global economy continues to react to data and policy implications, traders remain vigilant, navigating these ever-changing dynamics.